Event Preview of Ryder Cup 2023

Course Overview

Marco Simone (Guidonia, Italy)

• Par: 72
• Yardage: 7,255 - 7,268
• Number of Par 3s: 4
• Number of Par 4s: 12
• Number of Par 5s: 4
• Drivable Par 4s: 2

Betting Market Round Up

Pinnacle Odds: Europe -104 / USA +115 (Tie +1125)

Data Golf Odds: Europe +139 / USA -101 (Tie 1150)

Market Highlights

• The Europeans were available to bet at +170 earlier in the year - heavy movement in favor of them as the tournament approached
• This is a very big discrepancy between Data Golf and the betting markets - which is notable

Market Darlings (Players that have seen betting volume FOR them)

• N/A

Market Fallers (Players that have seen betting volume AGAINST them)

• N/A

Projected Weather

Beautiful weather projected for this week - don’t expect British Open type weather

Weather Station: Ciampino, Italy Weather Conditions | Weather Underground

Friday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph
• Temp: 64 - 78 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Friday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph
• Temp: 78 - 80 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Saturday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph
• Temp: 61 - 78 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Saturday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph
• Temp: 78 - 82 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Sunday AM

• Wind: 3-4 mph
• Temp: 62 - 79 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Sunday PM

• Wind: 4-8 mph
• Temp: 79 - 83 °F
• Rain: Sunny ☀️

Injury News

• Team USA: None
• Team Europe: Rory McIlroy (Back, he’s fine)

Interesting Thoughts

Thoughts on Course

• There is a lot of talk about how hilly and long the walk is at Marco Simone. Some refer to it as a “golf cart course”. Many believe that the course will make it hard for anyone to play 5 matches.
• Most experts believe “long and straight” is the key skill (wow hitting it long and straight is gonna be key?!?)
• Water comes into play on 6 holes - Andy Lack called Marco Simone “European PGA National”

Thoughts on Players

• Sophie Walker had an interesting comment on the Pinnacle Betting Preview (link below). She said that the American rookies in the Solheim Cup said it was incredibly difficult being a rookie on European soil. Will this matter for the US Rookies (Harman, Homa, Clark, Burns)?
• My opinion on who will play all 5 matches: Rory, Rahm and Hovland…maaaybe Scheffler
• Scottie Scheffler is working with a new putting coach - he’s been terrible on the greens and amazing through the air

Projected Pairings (Wait till Friday morning pairings are announced before betting)

USA

• Xander Schauffele / Patrick Cantlay (There is almost no way this team is ever split up)
• Justin Thomas / Jordan Spieth (Not as good as Xander/Cantlay but should go out together…JT at risk of getting benched quickly though)
• Scottie Scheffler / Sam Burns (Burns could be yanked from Scottie if he doesn’t play great)
• Colin Morikawa and Max Homa (More solid than people think)

Europe

• Jon Rahm and Tyrell Hatton (Only one I feel confident on)
• I think you will see Aberg, Hovland and Rory play with each other and then Fleetwood, Lowry, Rose and Fitzpatrick rotate with each other. Not very confident in this though

How to watch:

Friday: 1:30am EST to 12:00pm EST (USA Network, fubo, Rydercup.com)

Saturday: 1:30am EST to 12:00pm EST (NBC, fubo, Rydercup.com)

Sunday: 5:30am EST to 1:00pm EST (NBC, fubo, Rydercup.com)

Betting Tip of the Week:

1. When playing DFS, remember that players are 100% correlated with their partners on day 1 and day 2. They are inversely correlated with their opponents (but not 100%)
2. Everyone who starts in the Friday Morning Wave will have insanely high ownership in traditional DFS - but it’s most likely warranted because they will play more matches on average

Best Resources for Further Research:

• Data Golf Preview (free): Ryder Cup

• Pinnacle Betting Preview (YouTube video): 2023 Ryder Cup Preview and Predictions | Major Talk Podcast

• Andy Lack’s Course Breakdown (RRG Subscription Required): Restricted Access - RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data